In Press / Published

  1. McKinnon, K.A., A. Poppick, E. Dunn-Sigouin, and C. Deser. An 'Observational Large Ensemble' to compare observed and modeled temperature trend uncertainty due to internal variability. Journal of Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0905.1. | PDF, online | data | Code coming soon.
  2. Deser, C., I. Simpson, K.A. McKinnon, and A. Phillips. The Northern Hemisphere extra-tropical atmospheric circulation response to ENSO: How well do we know it and how do we evaluate models accordingly?. Journal of Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0844.1. | PDF, online.
  3. Rhines, A., K.A. McKinnon, M.P. Tingley, and P. Huybers. Seasonally Resolved Distributional Trends of North American Temperatures Show Contraction of Winter Variability. Journal of Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0363.1. | PDF, online.
  4. McKinnon, K.A. and P. Huybers, 2016: Seasonal constraints on inferred planetary heat content. Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1002/2016GL071055. | PDF, online | code.
  5. McKinnon, K.A., A. Rhines, M.P. Tingley, and P. Huybers, 2016: The changing shape of Northern Hemisphere summer temperature distributions. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 121 (15), 8849-8868, doi:10.1002/2016JD025292. | PDF, online | code.
  6. McKinnon, K.A., A. Rhines, M.P. Tingley, and P. Huybers, 2016: Long-lead predictions of eastern United States hot days from Pacific sea surface temperatures. Nature Geoscience 9, 389–394, doi:10.1038/ngeo2687. | PDF, Supplement, online | code.
  7. Mueller, N.D., E.E. Butler, K.A. McKinnon, A. Rhines, M.P. Tingley, N.M. Holbrook, and P. Huybers, 2016: Cooling of US Midwest summer temperature extremes from cropland intensification. Nature Climate Change 6, 317-322, doi:10.1038/nclimate2825. | PDF, online.
  8. Rhines, A., M.P. Tingley, K.A. McKinnon, and P. Huybers, 2015: Decoding the precision of historical temperature observations. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 141 (693), 2923-2922, doi:10.1002/qj.2612. | PDF, online.
  9. McKinnon, K.A. and P. Huybers, 2014: On using the seasonal cycle to interpret extratropical temperature changes since 1950. Geophysical Research Letters 41 (13), 4676-4684, doi:10.1002/2014GL060404. | PDF, online.
  10. Huybers, P., K.A. McKinnon, A. Rhines, and M.P. Tingley, 2014: US daily temperatures: The meaning of extremes in the context of nonnormality. Journal of Climate 27 (19), 7368-7384, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00216.1. | PDF, online.
  11. McKinnon, K.A., A.R. Stine, and P. Huybers, 2013: The spatial structure of the annual cycle in surface temperature: Amplitude, phase, and Lagrangian history. Journal of Climate 26 (20), 7852-7862, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00021.1. | PDF, online.
  12. McKinnon, K.A., A.N. Mackintosh, B.M. Anderson, and D.J.A. Barrell, 2012: The influence of sub-glacial bed evolution on ice extent: a model-based evaluation of the Last Glacial Maximum Pukaki glacier, New Zealand. Quaternary Science Reviews 57 46-57, doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2012.10.002. | PDF, online.

In Progress / Submitted

  1. McKinnon, K.A. and C. Deser. Internal variability and regional climate trends in the Observational Large Ensemble. In prep.
  2. Deser, C., I. Simpson, A. Phillips, and K.A. McKinnon. How well do we know ENSO’s climate impacts over North America, and how do we evaluate models accordingly?. In prep.
  3. Rischard, M., K.A. McKinnon, and N. Pillai. Bias correction in daily maximum and minimum temperature measurements through Gaussian process modeling. In prep.
  4. Pall, P., K.A. McKinnon, D.E. Rupp, G.S. Mauger, and P.W. Mote. Anthropogenic greenhouse gas contribution to the odds of the 2001 Pacific Northwest drought. In revision in Weather and Climate Extremes.